The Political Risk Investor
Why the Political Risk Investor (PRI)?
Every business cycle contains unique country and political risks, and they occur globally but in different forms. Some countries and their respective asset classes remain quiet for some time – off the radar screen to investors. Later – and for various reasons – they become active and the potential for outsized gains become obsolete. The challenge for most investors therefore is in knowing the essential country and political risk-related information that can be subsequently translated into appropriate and reasoned trades.
In the PRI, investors and business will gain insight and be offered trading stratagems derived from The PRS Group's global coverage of 140 countries. For example, investors will be offered a look at how:
- Riots and civil strife can affect commodity prices and local equity shares;
- Elections, candidates, and their views on policy may shape the behavior of the country's bond and currency markets; and
- The risks attached to a country's outlook for growth, inflation and balance of payments shape the behavior of a range of assets, locally and abroad.
The PRS Group has been covering developed, emerging, and frontier markets for almost four decades. Our proprietary methodologies for assessing and forecasting country and political risk have been found to be most accurate1 , and numerous studies have underscored the investment import of ICRG data and risk ratings, including the correlation between a number of economic and financial risk metrics and equity market returns in emerging markets2.
Our data and analyses are used by institutional investors, central banks, academic institutions and think tanks, private equity groups, multilateral agencies, and multinational firms.
As an added bonus, each issue of the PRI is capped with the "Political and Economic Forecasts Table," which includes 18-month and five-year forecasts for turmoil, investment, transfer, and export risk in all 100 countries covered by PRS’ Country Reports, along with forecasts of real GDP growth, inflation and current account.
Please contact us at email@example.com or (315) 431-0511 for more information and pricing.
1. L.D. Howell and B. Chaddick,“Models of Political Risk for Foreign Investment and Trade: An Assessment of Three Approaches,” 29:70-91, Columbia Journal of World Business (1994).
2. C.B. Erb, C. Harvey, and T.E. Viskanta, "Political Risk, Economic Risk, and Financial Risk," Financial Analysts Journal 52(6):28-46, (1996).